Thursday, November 15, 2007

Presidential Election Predictions.

A number of people, using the results of national polls, believe that former New York city mayor Rudy Giuliani will become the Republican Party's presidential nominee in 2008. Most are so convinced of this, they won't listen to any contrary argument. I don't happen to be one of those folks.

The national polls can't be used as a reliable predictor at this stage of the game. Giuliani has the greatest name recognition and that tilts the scales unrealistically. The Iowa caucus and the New Hampshire primary will give the best indication of who the party favorite will be. Former Massachusetts Governor, Mitt Romney holds a substantial lead in both those races. Winning in Iowa and New Hampshire will give Romney the Big Mo to carry the next primaries.

The "conventional wisdom" says that Romney can't win the Republican nomination because the party's large number of Evangelical voters won't vote for a Mormon. I'm not buying that, either. Faced with a choice between Romney's Mormon faith and Giuliani - a pro choice "Catholic in name only"- who has had several marriages and divorces, I'm sure most Evangelicals won't pick Giuliani.

I'm predicting that Romney will be the Republican candidate.

Hillary Clinton has been getting a bit of flack lately from her Democrat opponents but, in the end, she'll still take the nomination. In spite of what they would have you believe, Democrat liberals are too racist to nominate Barack Obama as their top candidate.

Come the televised Presidential debates in 2008, when the voters see Hillary Clinton coming across as the incarnation of the proverbial "angry ex-wife", the Republican candidate will zoom ahead.

I'm predicting Mitt Romney will be the next President of the United States. You heard it here first.

UPDATE: April 15, 2008.
Looks like I was wrong on all counts.

10 comments:

Dillon Coil said...

I think you're right and this article explains why:

http://republicanprimary.blogspot.com/2007/11/dick-morris-always-certain-usually.html

RTS said...

Thanks Dillon,
I read the post and I'm re-doing the link here for those too lazy to cut and paste. Your blogs gives us a lot to think about. I'll be reading more soon.
Robert

Dominique said...

Christopher Walken for president!

RTS said...

Hi Dom,
I didn't recognize the name so I googled it.When I saw his photo I said "Oh yeah,I know this guy. He would make a great replacement for Gloria."

Dominique said...

Ha ha, nice twist there, Robert.

Anyway, check out http://www.walken2008.com. Not sure if that's a joke or not.

Regardless, Walken sure can dance.

RTS said...

Hi Dom,
I went to the site.He looks "Presidential" but he gives very little information about his political ideology or platform. He'd have zero chance of winning anyway.I still think my idea of having him replace Gloria is a good suggestion. He could practice there and we could see if he's ready for prime time.

Anonymous said...

Hillary and Bill are still married.

RTS said...

to anonymous,
I don't get your point.What does Bill and Hill's marriage have to do with anything?

Anonymous said...

Dont you carefully read what you write?
when the voters see Hillary Clinton coming across as the incarnation of the proverbial "angry ex-wife", the Republican candidate will zoom ahead.

RTS said...

key word is "proverbial"